Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.016518 0.019225 0.022215 0.025759 0.029843 0.034399 0.039864
2025-12-14 0.011872 0.015201 0.019220 0.024418 0.030952 0.038882 0.049227
2025-12-21 0.009160 0.012743 0.017413 0.023923 0.032738 0.044231 0.060322
2025-12-28 0.007810 0.011681 0.017077 0.025103 0.036690 0.052751 0.076637
2026-01-04 0.006643 0.010606 0.016473 0.025720 0.039850 0.060529 0.092958
2026-01-11 0.005429 0.009208 0.015121 0.024953 0.040780 0.065114 0.105162
2026-01-18 0.004590 0.008229 0.014220 0.024679 0.042329 0.070703 0.119474
2026-01-25 0.003852 0.007276 0.013188 0.023989 0.043037 0.074955 0.132065
2026-02-01 0.003290 0.006527 0.012370 0.023509 0.043973 0.079604 0.145769
2026-02-08 0.002863 0.005949 0.011757 0.023278 0.045269 0.084949 0.161215
2026-02-15 0.002461 0.005346 0.011002 0.022656 0.045730 0.088807 0.174365
2026-02-22 0.002289 0.005179 0.011054 0.023587 0.049232 0.098596 0.199567
2026-03-01 0.002035 0.004802 0.010644 0.023560 0.050900 0.105212 0.219703
2026-03-08 0.001748 0.004303 0.009908 0.022749 0.050868 0.108504 0.233696
2026-03-15 0.001547 0.003965 0.009465 0.022501 0.051976 0.114202 0.253228
2026-03-22 0.001476 0.003923 0.009675 0.023729 0.056439 0.127348 0.289822
2026-03-29 0.001372 0.003782 0.009634 0.024375 0.059677 0.138236 0.322780
2026-04-05 0.001201 0.003440 0.009062 0.023677 0.059728 0.142148 0.340795
2026-04-12 0.001076 0.003197 0.008698 0.023432 0.060809 0.148476 0.364953
2026-04-19 0.000948 0.002920 0.008203 0.022783 0.060817 0.152321 0.383767
2026-04-26 0.000844 0.002694 0.007807 0.022330 0.061249 0.157198 0.405552
2026-05-03 0.000762 0.002517 0.007515 0.022113 0.062251 0.163549 0.431586
2026-05-10 0.000676 0.002311 0.007110 0.021521 0.062188 0.167249 0.451435